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Mexico vs Poland Match Preview

21 Nov 2022 07:06    

The match

Mexico take on Poland in a vital World Cup Group C fixture. The other two countries in this group are Argentina and Saudi Arabia. This is such an important game as it may well decide who finishes second behind expected group winners Argentina. Mexico (who will co-host the 2026 World Cup) finished second in their CONCACAF to automatically qualify for the 2022 World Cup. 10 of their 14 group games had under 2.5 goals scored in them. While only eight goals were conceded in 14 qualifiers, Mexico only scored 17 themselves. The majority of those goals came against the bottom two in the group. Their form coming into this tournament has been inconsistent. Four of their last nine games have ended in defeat. That includes a 2-1 loss to Sweden in their final warm-up match. One recent game that did see a few goals scored was a disappointing friendly against Colombia. They led that match 2-0 but ended up losing it 3-2. Their top scorer is the Wolves striker Raul Jimenez but he's barely played this season due to injury. They are aiming to qualify from their World Cup group for the eighth successive tournament.

Poland had to go through the play-offs to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. They finished second behind England in their group and then beat Sweden 2-0 to reach the finals. Only one play-off game had to be played after drawing the subsequently banned Russia in the semi-finals. The Poles will be keen to make it out of this group. They haven't been able to do that since the 1986 World Cup. That's despite having Robert Lewandowski up front. He may be a prolific scorer in club football but he has only scored one goal for Poland from open play in 2022. That was in a rather forgettable 6-1 loss in Belgium. Poland have won their last two internationals beating Wales and Chile. The under 2.5 goals stat has come up in each of their last four matches. Their last three matches against Mexico have all had under 2.5 goals scored in them. Go for that stat to come up in this match.

Key Statistics

The last four Polish games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of the last three games played between these two sides.

10 out of 14 Mexico qualifying matches saw under 2.5 goals scored in them.

Poland have kept two consecutive clean sheets.

The bet of our experts

This should be a tight match as neither team will want to lose this match. They will both expect to beat Saudi Arabia but most likely lose to Argentina. Whoever wins this match therefore will be strong favorites to go into the last 16. Poland only finished third in their Nations League group but have won their last two matches. Mexico have been inconsistent, though they did beat Iraq 4-0 at the start of this month. A bet on under 2.5 goals being scored looks a winner. A side bet on a draw might also be successful.

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